Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.66	2.17	Watch
	1.72	2.14	Watch
	1.63	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.72)	2.16 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
56.6%

Vilius Gaubas
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moreno De Alboran is ranked ATP: 696. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 129.

Moreno De Alboran may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moreno De Alboran won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.62%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Jordan Thompson - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Matt Hulme	2:1 ✺
06.06.25	Colton Smith - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	Moreno De Alboran N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWW?
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
11.11.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Vilius Gaubas - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Ivan Gakhov - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Vilius Gaubas - Vit Kopriva	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.04.24	Vilius Gaubas - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0

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