Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SKOPJE (NORTH MACEDONIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 May 2023, Monday


	Eduardo Ribeiro		Steven Diez

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.3	1.6
	2.23	1.67
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.18	1.63	Watch
	2.21	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.77)	1.62 ↓ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eduardo Ribeiro
42.1%

Steven Diez
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eduardo Ribeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eduardo Ribeiro's form might have worsened.

Steven Diez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Steven Diez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eduardo Ribeiro than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eduardo Ribeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Steven Diez than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Steven Diez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Eduardo Ribeiro - Steven Diez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Ribeiro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Diez is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ribeiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eduardo Ribeiro
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Pedro Cachin - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:1 ✺
15.05.23	Eduardo Ribeiro - Sebastian Fanselow	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Nick Hardt - Eduardo Ribeiro	1:2 ✺
01.05.23	Eduardo Ribeiro - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
22.04.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWLL
- Steven Diez
ATP Challenger
14.05.23	Ugo Blanchet - Steven Diez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.05.23	Steven Diez - Miguel Damas	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.23	Steven Diez - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
02.05.23	Steven Diez - Nicolas Barrientos	2:1 ✺
22.04.23	Steven Diez - Pedro Sousa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

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