Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: FLORIANOPOLIS (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 April 2023, Tuesday


	Eduardo Ribeiro		Valerio Aboian

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.82	2.02
	1.64	2.16	Watch
	1.14	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.86)	2.66 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eduardo Ribeiro
62%

Valerio Aboian
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eduardo Ribeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eduardo Ribeiro's performance.

Valerio Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valerio Aboian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eduardo Ribeiro than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eduardo Ribeiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valerio Aboian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Eduardo Ribeiro - Valerio Aboian Predictions

Users Predictions: Eduardo Ribeiro will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ribeiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eduardo Ribeiro
ITF Tournaments
23.03.23	Eduardo Ribeiro - Victor Lilov	0:2 ✺
22.03.23	Eduardo Ribeiro - Arvid Nordquist	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Eduardo Ribeiro - Terence Atmane	0:2 ✺
17.03.23	Alex Barrena - Eduardo Ribeiro	Barrena A. retired ✺
16.03.23	Jose-Rubin Statham - Eduardo Ribeiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWL?W
- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
03.04.23	Benjamin Lock - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Luke Saville - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
26.03.23	Dominik Koepfer - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.03.23	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
23.03.23	Nicolas Buitrago - Valerio Aboian	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW

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