Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAN LUIS POTOSI (MEXICO) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: SAN LUIS POTOSI (MEXICO) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Luke Saville		Valerio Aboian

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.57
	2.44	1.58
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.19)	1.56 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Saville
40.1%

Valerio Aboian
59.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Saville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Valerio Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Saville than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Luke Saville - Valerio Aboian Predictions

Users Predictions: Valerio Aboian will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Aboian could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aboian will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Saville
ITF Tournaments
25.03.23	Alex Michelsen - Luke Saville	2:0 ✺
24.03.23	Luke Saville - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Kyle Kang - Luke Saville	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.23	Luke Saville - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.03.23	Thomas John Fancutt - Luke Saville	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLL
- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
26.03.23	Dominik Koepfer - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.03.23	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
23.03.23	Nicolas Buitrago - Valerio Aboian	1:2 ✺
22.03.23	Juan Sebastian Gomez - Valerio Aboian	1:2 ✺
08.03.23	Valerio Aboian - Fernando Yamacita	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Valerio Aboian - Nick Hardt	✺

Luke Saville - Valerio Aboian