Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Yinchuan (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 August 2024, Thursday


	Edward Winter		Fajing Sun

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.9
	1.85	1.82
	1.78	1.97
	1.86	1.84	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.23)	1.87 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edward Winter
50.5%

Fajing Sun
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edward Winter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Edward Winter's performance.

Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fajing Sun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edward Winter than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Edward Winter that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fajing Sun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Edward Winter - Fajing Sun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Winter is ranked ATP: 709. Sun is ranked ATP: 392.

Recent matches Winter is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sun is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Winter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sun will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Sun to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edward Winter
ITF Tournaments
14.08.24	Edward Winter - Kuan-Yi Lee	2:1 ✺
08.08.24	Edward Winter - Makoto Ochi	1:2 ✺
06.08.24	Edward Winter - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
16.07.24	Edward Winter - Iiro Vasa	0:2 ✺
12.07.24	Mili Poljicak - Edward Winter	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL
- Fajing Sun
ITF Tournaments
13.08.24	Sanhui Shin - Fajing Sun	1:2 ✺
21.07.24	Fajing Sun - Yi Zhou	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
19.07.24	Fajing Sun - Erik Arutiunian	2:1 ✺
17.07.24	Fajing Sun - Shaoyun Liu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWW

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