Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 4, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Fajing Sun		Yi Zhou

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.65	1.43
	2.7	1.5
	2.62	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.64	1.45	Watch
	2.8	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.75)	1.44 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
35%

Yi Zhou
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Yi Zhou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fajing Sun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yi Zhou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fajing Sun - Yi Zhou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 255. Zhou is ranked ATP: 327.

Sun has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zhou is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zhou may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zhou is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Zhou will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Fajing Sun - Hyeon Chung	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Jason Kubler - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Fajing Sun - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Fajing Sun - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
22.09.25	Terence Atmane - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLLL
- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
15.10.25	Yi Zhou - Aoran Wang	Zhou Y. walkover ✺
14.10.25	Yi Zhou - Xiaofei Wang	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
08.10.25	Rinky Hijikata - Yi Zhou	1:2 ✺
07.10.25	Yi Zhou - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.07.24	Fajing Sun - Yi Zhou	1:2

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