Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion 6, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday


	Edward Winter		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
	2.6	1.42
	2.58	1.48
	2.68	1.45	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.56	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.24)	1.45 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edward Winter
35.7%

Lucas Poullain
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edward Winter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Edward Winter's form might have worsened.

Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucas Poullain's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edward Winter than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Edward Winter, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucas Poullain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Edward Winter - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Winter is ranked ATP: 610. Poullain is ranked ATP: 408.

In recent matches, Winter has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Poullain is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Poullain may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Poullain could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Poullain will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edward Winter
ITF Tournaments
23.05.25	Edward Winter - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
22.05.25	Edward Winter - Kase Schinnerer	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Edward Winter - Andreas Timini	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Edward Winter - Renta Tokuda	1:2 ✺
27.03.25	Strong Kirchheimer - Edward Winter	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLL
- Lucas Poullain
ITF Tournaments
23.05.25	Faris Zakaryia - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
22.05.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Dominique Graf - Lucas Poullain	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Matthew Summers - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW

Edward Winter - Lucas Poullain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide