Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday


	Egor Agafonov		Mirza Basic

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.27	1.57	Watch
	2.40	1.52	Watch
			Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.78)	1.55 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egor Agafonov
40%

Mirza Basic
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egor Agafonov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Egor Agafonov's form might have worsened.

Mirza Basic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirza Basic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egor Agafonov than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Egor Agafonov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirza Basic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Egor Agafonov - Mirza Basic Predictions

Users Predictions: Mirza Basic will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mirza Basic will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Agafonov is ranked ATP: 499. Basic is ranked ATP: 512.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egor Agafonov
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Vadym Ursu - Egor Agafonov	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Evan Zhu - Egor Agafonov	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Nitin Kumar Sinha - Egor Agafonov	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Egor Agafonov - S D Prajwal Dev	Agafonov E. retired ✺
12.10.25	Egor Agafonov - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLW?W
- Mirza Basic
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Michael Bassem Sobhy - Mirza Basic	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.10.25	Mirza Basic - Andrej Nedic	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Mirza Basic - Daniel Uta	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Mirza Basic - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Mirza Basic - Tadija Radovanovic	Basic M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWW?

Egor Agafonov - Mirza Basic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide