Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seoul - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Evan Zhu		Egor Agafonov

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	1.55	2.31	Watch
			Watch
	2.58	1.47	Watch
	2.54	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.84)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evan Zhu
42.3%

Egor Agafonov
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evan Zhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Evan Zhu's form might have worsened.

Egor Agafonov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Egor Agafonov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Evan Zhu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egor Agafonov than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Egor Agafonov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Evan Zhu - Egor Agafonov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zhu will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Agafonov will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhu is ranked ATP: 568. Agafonov is ranked ATP: 492.

Zhu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Agafonov is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Agafonov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Agafonov might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Agafonov will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Evan Zhu - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Egor Agafonov - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evan Zhu
ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Evan Zhu - Takuya Kumasaka	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Evan Zhu	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Sergey Fomin - Evan Zhu	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Zhenxiong Dong - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Evan Zhu - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWL
- Egor Agafonov
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Nitin Kumar Sinha - Egor Agafonov	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Egor Agafonov - S D Prajwal Dev	Agafonov E. retired ✺
12.10.25	Egor Agafonov - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.09.25	Kuan-Yi Lee - Egor Agafonov	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Jaesung Choe - Egor Agafonov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 W?WLW

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