The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Egor Gerasimov 37.4%
Richard Gasquet 62.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.2%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
46%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Egor Gerasimov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Egor Gerasimov's form might have worsened.
Richard Gasquet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Richard Gasquet's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (+16.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Egor Gerasimov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (-16.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Richard Gasquet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.7%
0%
76.3%
Egor Gerasimov - Richard Gasquet Predictions
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Gerasimov will win (votes: 9 - 23.7%). Gasquet will win (votes: 29 - 76.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gasquet: 62.8% – 89.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Gerasimov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Gasquet will have a small advantage in this match.