Match Info

Date: 25 July 2021, Sunday


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Richard Gasquet

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.26	3.7
	1.26	3.95	Watch
	1.24	3.8
	1.27	4.27
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.26	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)	3.99 ↑ (3.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
76.1%

Richard Gasquet
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.5%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Richard Gasquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.1%	0%	23.9%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Richard Gasquet Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 35 - 76.1%). Gasquet will win (votes: 11 - 23.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 63.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Alcaraz Garfia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gasquet is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Umag
24.07.21	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
23.07.21	Filip Krajinovic - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
22.07.21	Andrej Martin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
20.07.21	Lucas Pouille - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniil Medvedev	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWL
- Richard Gasquet
ATP Umag
24.07.21	Richard Gasquet - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
23.07.21	Damir Dzumhur - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
21.07.21	Alessandro Giannessi - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
12.07.21	Richard Gasquet - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.21	Roger Federer - Richard Gasquet	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLL

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