Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday


	Ekaterina Alexandrova		Ashlyn Krueger

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.35	3.2	Watch
	1.47	2.86
	1.47	2.86
	1.4	2.9
	1.45	2.78	Watch
	1.44	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.42)	2.86 ↑ (2.57)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterina Alexandrova
66.6%

Ashlyn Krueger
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Ashlyn Krueger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashlyn Krueger than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ashlyn Krueger Predictions

Users Predictions: Ekaterina Alexandrova will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Alexandrova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alexandrova is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Stuttgart
17.04.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ons Jabeur	1:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
03.04.24	Taylor Townsend - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
28.03.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Danielle Collins	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula	2:1 ✺
25.03.24	Iga Swiatek - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LLLWW
- Ashlyn Krueger
WTA Madrid
24.04.24	Nao Hibino - Ashlyn Krueger	0:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
03.04.24	Darya Kasatkina - Ashlyn Krueger	2:1 ✺
02.04.24	Ashlyn Krueger - Gabriela Lee	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.24	Nadia Podoroska - Ashlyn Krueger	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.24	Nadia Podoroska - Ashlyn Krueger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLL

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