Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wuhan, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Ekaterina Alexandrova		Victoria Mboko

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.86
	1.43	2.78	Watch
	1.46	2.73	Watch
	1.69	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.91)	2.66 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterina Alexandrova
64.1%

Victoria Mboko
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ekaterina Alexandrova's performance.

Victoria Mboko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Victoria Mboko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ekaterina Alexandrova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria Mboko than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Victoria Mboko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	0%	35.3%

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Victoria Mboko Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Mboko will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ekaterina Alexandrova will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 11. Mboko is ranked WTA: 23.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Alexandrova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Beijing
26.09.25	Barbora Krejcikova - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
WTA Seoul
21.09.25	Iga Swiatek - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Katerina Siniakova - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Ella Seidel - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Lois Boisson - Ekaterina Alexandrova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWW
- Victoria Mboko
WTA Beijing
26.09.25	Anastasia Potapova - Victoria Mboko	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Barbora Krejcikova - Victoria Mboko	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
09.08.25	Victoria Mboko - Diana Shnaider	Canceled ✺
WTA Montreal
07.08.25	Victoria Mboko - Naomi Osaka	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Victoria Mboko - Elena Rybakina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LL?WW

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