Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bad Homburg 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	15:00	CANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	DAZN
France	15:00	beIN Sports 3
Greece	16:00	Nova Sports 6
Poland	15:00	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	16:00	Digi Sport 4
Slovakia	15:00	Voyo
Sweden	15:00	DAZN
Ukraine	16:00	Setanta Sports Premium
United Kingdom	14:00	Sky Sports Tennis


	Elena Gabriela Ruse		Karolina Muchova

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.7	1.42
	2.76	1.53
	2.72	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.48
	2.92	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.84)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elena Gabriela Ruse
34.4%

Karolina Muchova
65.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elena Gabriela Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Gabriela Ruse than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Elena Gabriela Ruse - Karolina Muchova Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ruse will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Muchova will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muchova: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Ruse is ranked WTA: 105. Muchova is ranked WTA: 11.

Ruse is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Muchova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ruse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Muchova could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ruse won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elena Gabriela Ruse
WTA Bad Homburg
25.06.26	Emma Navarro - Elena Gabriela Ruse	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Elena Gabriela Ruse	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Linda Noskova	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Taylor Townsend	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Shuai Zhang - Elena Gabriela Ruse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWWW
- Karolina Muchova
WTA Bad Homburg
25.06.26	Karolina Muchova - Clara Tauson	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Karolina Muchova - Irina-Camelia Begu	2:0 ✺
WTA Berlin
18.06.26	Madison Keys - Karolina Muchova	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Shuai Zhang - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
29.05.26	Jil Belen Teichmann - Karolina Muchova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Auckland
05.01.23	Karolina Muchova - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0

Elena Gabriela Ruse - Karolina Muchova