Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Brazil	ESPN 2
Colombia	ESPN 4
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
France	beIN Sports 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Italy	Super Tennis
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Elena Rybakina		Elina Svitolina

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.37	3
	1.41	3.15
	1.39	3.1	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.45	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	3.03 ↑ (2.78)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elena Rybakina
68.4%

Elina Svitolina
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Elina Svitolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Elena Rybakina - Elina Svitolina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Svitolina (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elena Rybakina will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elena Rybakina will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 3 - 75%). Svitolina (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rybakina is ranked WTA: 3. Svitolina is ranked WTA: 9.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 3.

Rybakina is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Svitolina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Rybakina is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elena Rybakina
WTA Indian Wells
12.03.26	Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Sonay Kartal - Elena Rybakina	Kartal S. retired ✺
10.03.26	Marta Kostyuk - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Hailey Baptiste - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
18.02.26	Elena Rybakina - Antonia Ruzic	Rybakina E. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 W?WW?
- Elina Svitolina
WTA Indian Wells
12.03.26	Elina Svitolina - Iga Swiatek	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Katerina Siniakova - Elina Svitolina	Siniakova K. retired ✺
09.03.26	Ashlyn Krueger - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Laura Siegemund - Elina Svitolina	1:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
21.02.26	Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 W?WWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Madrid
27.04.25	Elena Rybakina - Elina Svitolina	0:2
WTA Wimbledon
10.07.24	Elena Rybakina - Elina Svitolina	2:0
WTA Roland Garros
03.06.24	Elina Svitolina - Elena Rybakina	0:2
WTA Olympic Games
31.07.21	Elena Rybakina - Elina Svitolina	1:2
WTA Eastbourne
23.06.21	Elena Rybakina - Elina Svitolina	2:0
WTA Strasbourg
26.09.20	Elena Rybakina - Elina Svitolina	1:2

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