Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday


	Eliakim Coulibaly		Alexander Vasilev

	1	2
	2.35	1.55
	2.40	1.57
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.40	1.50
	2.42	1.50	Watch
	2.31	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.02)	1.52 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eliakim Coulibaly
38.8%

Alexander Vasilev
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eliakim Coulibaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eliakim Coulibaly's form might have worsened.

Alexander Vasilev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Vasilev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eliakim Coulibaly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Vasilev than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Vasilev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Eliakim Coulibaly - Alexander Vasilev Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Coulibaly will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Vasilev will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 314. Vasilev is ranked ATP: 592.

Coulibaly is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vasilev has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vasilev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Coulibaly won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eliakim Coulibaly
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Pavel Lagutin - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Eliakim Coulibaly	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.06.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Francisco Rocha	Coulibaly E. Retired ✺
25.06.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Patrick Schoen	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - John Echeverria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 W??WW
- Alexander Vasilev
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Alexander Vasilev - Kai Wehnelt	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Sandro Kopp - Alexander Vasilev	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Alexander Vasilev - Niels Visker	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Alexander Vasilev - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
09.06.26	Miguel Tobon - Alexander Vasilev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Alexander Vasilev	0:2

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