Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Eliakim Coulibaly		Cesar Bouchelaghem

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.56	2.56
	1.5	2.41	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.52)	2.43 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eliakim Coulibaly
61.6%

Cesar Bouchelaghem
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eliakim Coulibaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Cesar Bouchelaghem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eliakim Coulibaly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesar Bouchelaghem than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cesar Bouchelaghem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Eliakim Coulibaly - Cesar Bouchelaghem Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Coulibaly will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Coulibaly (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 287. Bouchelaghem is ranked ATP: 732.

In recent matches, both players have secured multiple victories.

Coulibaly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Coulibaly might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Coulibaly will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Coulibaly won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eliakim Coulibaly
ITF Tournaments
15.02.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Toufik Sahtali	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Petros Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Liam Branger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW
- Cesar Bouchelaghem
ITF Tournaments
22.02.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Jack Loge	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Maxim Zhukov	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Yanki Erel - Cesar Bouchelaghem	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Maik Steiner	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Federico Iannaccone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.08.24	Eliakim Coulibaly - Cesar Bouchelaghem	2:0

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