Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Birmingham, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 June 2026, Wednesday


	Elias Ymer		Christopher OConnell

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	2.02	1.71	Watch
	2.08	1.85
	2.02	1.72	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.95	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (2)	1.75 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
46.5%

Christopher OConnell
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Christopher OConnell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Elias Ymer - Christopher OConnell Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). OConnell will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ymer: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 191. OConnell is ranked ATP: 155.

Ymer has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

OConnell is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

OConnell may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ymer won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Christopher OConnell - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.59%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
01.06.26	Elias Ymer - Hamish Stewart	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Elias Ymer - Anton Matusevich	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Elias Ymer - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
25.05.26	Elias Ymer - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Elias Ymer - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL
- Christopher OConnell
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Dusan Lajovic - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Martin Landaluce - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Dino Prizmic - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Raphael Collignon - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hamburg
17.05.25	Christopher OConnell - Elias Ymer	1:2
ATP Roland Garros
21.09.20	Christopher OConnell - Elias Ymer	0:2
ATP Challenger
20.06.17	Christopher OConnell - Elias Ymer	0:2

Elias Ymer - Christopher OConnell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide