Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Raphael Collignon		Christopher OConnell

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.32	3.05	Watch
	1.28	3.95
	1.24	3.63	Watch
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.25	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.36)	3.49 ↑ (3)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
73.1%

Christopher OConnell
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Christopher OConnell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Raphael Collignon - Christopher OConnell Predictions

Users Predictions: Raphael Collignon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 65. OConnell is ranked ATP: 128.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Collignon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Collignon is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Raphael Collignon - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 68.81%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Miami
22.03.26	Tommy Paul - Raphael Collignon	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Raphael Collignon - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Raphael Collignon - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWLW
- Christopher OConnell
ATP Bucharest
31.03.26	Christopher OConnell - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Christopher OConnell - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Alexander Blockx - Christopher OConnell	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Nicolas Mejia - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Marton Fucsovics - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWL

Raphael Collignon - Christopher OConnell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide