Match Info

Date: 19 April 2022, Tuesday


	Elias Ymer		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.75	1.45
	2.6	1.48
	2.67	1.54
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.6)	1.47 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
35.2%

Lorenzo Sonego
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	0%	47.1%

Elias Ymer - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Sonego will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ymer: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ymer is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sonego is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sonego could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sonego will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ymer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Barcelona
18.04.22	Maxime Cressy - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
17.04.22	Pedro Sousa - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
16.04.22	Carlos Gimeno Valero - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.03.22	Elias Ymer - Chun Hsin Tseng	0:2 ✺
29.03.22	Elias Ymer - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
12.04.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.22	Denis Kudla - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.22	Benjamin Bonzi - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
05.03.22	Norbert Gombos - Lorenzo Sonego	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.10.18	Lorenzo Sonego - Elias Ymer	2:0
27.09.18	Elias Ymer - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0

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