Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sassuolo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday


	Elias Ymer		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.45	1.48
			Watch
	2.22	1.68
			Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.18	1.64	Watch
	2.23	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.23)	1.59 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
41.2%

Stanislas Wawrinka
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Stanislas Wawrinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Elias Ymer - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Wawrinka will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wawrinka: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Ymer (votes: 4 - 50%). Wawrinka (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 255. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 155.

Ymer has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wawrinka has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wawrinka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wawrinka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ymer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Elias Ymer - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Elias Ymer - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Luca Nardi - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
09.06.25	Elias Ymer - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Elias Ymer - Tim Handel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWL
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Challenger
11.06.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Radu Albot	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Jacob Fearnley - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Borna Coric	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Borna Gojo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.03.22	Elias Ymer - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0

Elias Ymer - Stanislas Wawrinka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide