Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 24 April 2023, Monday


	Elias Ymer		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.23	1.64
	2.23	1.65
	2.3	1.65
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.19	1.62	Watch
	2.22	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.68)	1.64 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
42.6%

Sebastian Ofner
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elias Ymer's performance.

Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebastian Ofner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elias Ymer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Ofner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Elias Ymer - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Ofner will win (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ymer: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Ofner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ofner will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ymer won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Banja Luka
18.04.23	Elias Ymer - Abedallah Shelbayh	0:2 ✺
17.04.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
16.04.23	Nerman Fatic - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.04.23	Filip Misolic - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
11.04.23	Kimmer Coppejans - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLW
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Challenger
22.04.23	Zsombor Piros - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
22.04.23	Sebastian Ofner - Andrea Vavassori	2:1 ✺
19.04.23	Sebastian Ofner - James McCabe	2:1 ✺
18.04.23	Sebastian Ofner - Petr Nouza	2:0 ✺
14.04.23	Pedro Cachin - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
24.09.20	Elias Ymer - Sebastian Ofner	0:2

Elias Ymer - Sebastian Ofner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide