Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Guerfi Garate K. (Esp)


	Pedro Cachin		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.71	1.51
	2.72	1.51
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.53	1.53	Watch
	2.7	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.2)	1.48 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Cachin
35.7%

Sebastian Ofner
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Cachin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pedro Cachin's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Ofner's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Cachin than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.3%	0%	69.7%

Pedro Cachin - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Cachin will win (votes: 10 - 30.3%). Ofner will win (votes: 23 - 69.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 54% – 85.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cachin is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ofner is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cachin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ofner will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cachin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Cachin
ATP Barcelona
15.04.24	Harold Mayot - Pedro Cachin	2:1 ✺
ATP Estoril
03.04.24	Marton Fucsovics - Pedro Cachin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.03.24	Pedro Cachin - Denis Yevseyev	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Pedro Cachin - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Pedro Cachin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LL?LL
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Barcelona
17.04.24	Sebastian Ofner - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
15.04.24	Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.24	Alexander Zverev - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
08.04.24	Daniel Evans - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
04.04.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.04.23	Pedro Cachin - Sebastian Ofner	2:1
ATP Sao Paulo
25.02.18	Sebastian Ofner - Pedro Cachin	2:1

Pedro Cachin - Sebastian Ofner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide