Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday


	Elina Svitolina		Maria Sakkari

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.85
	1.46	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.92
	1.47	2.64	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.44	2.8	Watch
	1.46	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.38)	2.8 ↑ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elina Svitolina
65.9%

Maria Sakkari
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elina Svitolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Maria Sakkari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elina Svitolina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Sakkari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Elina Svitolina - Maria Sakkari Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Svitolina (votes: 3 - 60%). Sakkari (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Sakkari (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3 Games - Svitolina (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Svitolina (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elina Svitolina will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Svitolina (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Sakkari (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Svitolina is ranked WTA: 17. Sakkari is ranked WTA: 82.

Svitolina in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Sakkari is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sakkari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Svitolina is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Svitolina to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Svitolina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elina Svitolina
WTA Madrid
27.04.25	Elena Rybakina - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Sonay Kartal - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
20.04.25	Elina Svitolina - Olga Danilovic	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Elina Svitolina - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Elina Svitolina - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW
- Maria Sakkari
WTA Madrid
27.04.25	Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Magda Linette - Maria Sakkari	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Xin Yu Wang - Maria Sakkari	0:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
15.04.25	Maria Sakkari - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	1:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
02.04.25	Qinwen Zheng - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Olympic Games
27.07.21	Maria Sakkari - Elina Svitolina	1:2
WTA Ostrava
21.10.20	Elina Svitolina - Maria Sakkari	0:2
WTA San Jose
02.08.19	Elina Svitolina - Maria Sakkari	1:2
WTA Wimbledon
05.07.19	Elina Svitolina - Maria Sakkari	2:1

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