Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Doha, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday


	Maria Sakkari		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.53	Watch
	2.56	1.58
	2.56	1.51	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.46	1.55	Watch
	2.54	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.23)	1.53 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Sakkari
37.5%

Jasmine Paolini
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Sakkari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Sakkari's form might have worsened.

Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jasmine Paolini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Sakkari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jasmine Paolini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sakkari will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Paolini will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jasmine Paolini will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakkari is ranked WTA: 52. Paolini is ranked WTA: 8.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sakkari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paolini might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sakkari won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Sakkari
WTA Doha
09.02.26	Maria Sakkari - Zeynep Sonmez	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
21.01.26	Maria Sakkari - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Maria Sakkari - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0 ✺
WTA Adelaide
12.01.26	Darya Kasatkina - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
WTA United Cup
06.01.26	Cori Gauff - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Australian Open
23.01.26	Iva Jovic - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Magdalena Frech - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
WTA United Cup
06.01.26	Jasmine Paolini - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Jasmine Paolini - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cincinnati
10.08.25	Jasmine Paolini - Maria Sakkari	2:0
WTA Madrid
27.04.25	Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
WTA Dubai
21.02.24	Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini	0:2
WTA Roland Garros
03.06.21	Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini	2:0

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