Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday


	Elina Svitolina		Naomi Osaka

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.65	2.18	Watch
	1.72	2.24
	1.66	2.22	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.71	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.54)	2.22 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elina Svitolina
56.9%

Naomi Osaka
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elina Svitolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.9%	0%	62.1%

Elina Svitolina - Naomi Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Svitolina will win (votes: 11 - 37.9%). Osaka will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 44.4% – 79.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Svitolina (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Osaka (votes: 12 - 70.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Osaka (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Svitolina (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Osaka (votes: 13 - 72.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Svitolina is ranked WTA: 13. Osaka is ranked WTA: 49.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Svitolina won 2.

Now, both players are in good form.

Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Svitolina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elina Svitolina
WTA Montreal
03.08.25	Amanda Anisimova - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
01.08.25	Anna Kalinskaya - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Kamilla Rakhimova - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
04.07.25	Elise Mertens - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW
- Naomi Osaka
WTA Montreal
03.08.25	Naomi Osaka - Anastasija Sevastova	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Naomi Osaka - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
28.07.25	Ariana Arseneault - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
WTA Washington
24.07.25	Emma Raducanu - Naomi Osaka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
23.03.24	Naomi Osaka - Elina Svitolina	2:0
WTA Australian Open
22.01.19	Naomi Osaka - Elina Svitolina	2:0
WTA Miami
23.03.18	Naomi Osaka - Elina Svitolina	0:2
WTA Dubai
22.02.18	Elina Svitolina - Naomi Osaka	2:0
WTA Tokyo 2
24.09.16	Elina Svitolina - Naomi Osaka	1:2
WTA Australian Open
20.01.16	Naomi Osaka - Elina Svitolina	2:0
WTA Tokyo
07.10.14	Elina Svitolina - Naomi Osaka	2:1

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