Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Ludmilla Samsonova		Naomi Osaka

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.8
	1.93	1.84	Watch
	1.98	1.9
	1.87	1.95	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.98	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.9)	1.85 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludmilla Samsonova
48.5%

Naomi Osaka
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ludmilla Samsonova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naomi Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	0%	35.3%

Ludmilla Samsonova - Naomi Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Samsonova will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Osaka will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsonova: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsonova (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Osaka (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Samsonova is ranked WTA: 16. Osaka is ranked WTA: 49.

Samsonova is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Osaka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Samsonova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Ludmilla Samsonova - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Wimbledon
09.07.25	Iga Swiatek - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
07.07.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Yulia Starodubtseva - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
01.07.25	Maya Joint - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWW
- Naomi Osaka
WTA Montreal
28.07.25	Ariana Arseneault - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
WTA Washington
24.07.25	Emma Raducanu - Naomi Osaka	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Naomi Osaka - Yulia Putintseva	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
04.07.25	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Naomi Osaka	2:1 ✺
02.07.25	Naomi Osaka - Katerina Siniakova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Berlin
17.06.25	Naomi Osaka - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2
WTA Miami
20.03.25	Naomi Osaka - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0
WTA Madrid
25.04.24	Naomi Osaka - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2
WTA Indian Wells
09.03.24	Ludmilla Samsonova - Naomi Osaka	0:2

Ludmilla Samsonova - Naomi Osaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide