Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brest, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Eliot Spizzirri		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.47	2.49	Watch
			Watch
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.59)	2.47 ↑ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eliot Spizzirri
62.3%

Francesco Passaro
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eliot Spizzirri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eliot Spizzirri than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Eliot Spizzirri - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Spizzirri (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Eliot Spizzirri will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Spizzirri is ranked ATP: 103. Passaro is ranked ATP: 139.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Spizzirri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Spizzirri is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Passaro - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.06%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eliot Spizzirri
ATP Challenger
24.10.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Mark Lajal - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Jonas Forejtek - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
ATP Brussels
17.10.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
24.10.25	Dan Added - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Jaime Faria - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Matej Dodig - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLW

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