Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday


	Matej Dodig		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.6	1.42	Watch
	2.71	1.48
	2.67	1.43	Watch
			Watch
	2.68	1.48	Watch
	2.25	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.28)	1.47 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
36.2%

Francesco Passaro
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	0%	94.1%

Matej Dodig - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: Francesco Passaro will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francesco Passaro will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 278. Passaro is ranked ATP: 139.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Dodig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Passaro might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dodig won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Matej Dodig - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Matej Dodig - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Matej Dodig - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Canceled ✺
02.09.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLL?L
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Robert Strombachs - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Chris Rodesch - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Jan Choinski - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Umag
20.07.25	Matej Dodig - Francesco Passaro	1:2

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