Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Elise Mertens		Elena Rybakina

	1	2
	4.5	1.2	Watch
	4.10	1.22
	4.58	1.18
	4.59	1.25
	4.15	1.23	Watch
	4.35	1.24
	4.54	1.21	Watch
	4.65	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (4.11)	1.21 ↓ (1.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
21.5%

Elena Rybakina
78.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

77%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Elise Mertens - Elena Rybakina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Rybakina (1.07) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elena Rybakina will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 27. Rybakina is ranked WTA: 2.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rybakina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rybakina is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.26	Elise Mertens - Maria Timofeeva	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Elise Mertens - Laura Siegemund	2:0 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
23.06.26	Naomi Osaka - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Alexandra Eala - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Berlin
17.06.26	Elise Mertens - Nikola Bartunkova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWL
- Elena Rybakina
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.26	Caty McNally - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Lois Boisson - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
WTA Berlin
18.06.26	Alexandra Eala - Elena Rybakina	2:0 ✺
WTA London
12.06.26	Elena Rybakina - Katie Boulter	1:2 ✺
12.06.26	Elena Rybakina - Tatjana Maria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
26.01.26	Elena Rybakina - Elise Mertens	2:0
WTA Cincinnati
11.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Elise Mertens	2:1
WTA Roland Garros
01.06.24	Elise Mertens - Elena Rybakina	0:2
WTA Brisbane
04.01.24	Elise Mertens - Elena Rybakina	0:2
WTA Miami
27.03.23	Elena Rybakina - Elise Mertens	2:0
WTA Cincinnati
18.08.21	Elise Mertens - Elena Rybakina	0:2
WTA Madrid
02.05.21	Elise Mertens - Elena Rybakina	2:0

Upcoming Matches