Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 June 2026, Monday


	Alexandra Eala		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	2.10	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.13	1.7
	2.19	1.75
	2.17	1.66	Watch
	2.20	1.67
	2.13	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.67)	1.7 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandra Eala
44.2%

Elise Mertens
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandra Eala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandra Eala's form might have worsened.

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elise Mertens's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandra Eala than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandra Eala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elise Mertens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Alexandra Eala - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Eala will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Mertens will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eala: 38.6% – 78%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Eala (votes: 1 - 50%). Mertens (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Eala (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Games - Eala (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Eala (votes: 3 - 75%). Mertens (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Eala is ranked WTA: 35. Mertens is ranked WTA: 24.

Eala is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Mertens has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mertens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eala won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexandra Eala - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.85%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandra Eala
WTA Berlin
20.06.26	Linda Noskova - Alexandra Eala	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Elina Svitolina - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
18.06.26	Alexandra Eala - Elena Rybakina	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Donna Vekic - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
WTA London
10.06.26	Iva Jovic - Alexandra Eala	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWWWL
- Elise Mertens
WTA Berlin
17.06.26	Elise Mertens - Nikola Bartunkova	0:2 ✺
15.06.26	Elise Mertens - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1 ✺
WTA Hertogenbosch
11.06.26	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
08.06.26	Bianca Vanessa Andreescu - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.26	Maja Chwalinska - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Madrid
24.04.26	Elise Mertens - Alexandra Eala	2:0
WTA Monastir
17.10.23	Alexandra Eala - Elise Mertens	0:2

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