Match Info

Date: 15 February 2021, Monday


	Elise Mertens		Karolina Muchova

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.34	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.15
	1.33	3.15
	1.37	3.39
	1.36	3.1
	1.33	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.64)	3.25 ↑ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
70.7%

Karolina Muchova
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elise Mertens's performance.

Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karolina Muchova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elise Mertens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karolina Muchova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	0%	19.2%

Elise Mertens - Karolina Muchova Predictions

Users Predictions: Elise Mertens will win (80 of 99 users predict this - 80.81%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.05% – 88.57%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Muchova will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Muchova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Australian Open
13.02.21	Belinda Bencic - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
10.02.21	Lin Zhu - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
08.02.21	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Melbourne Gippsland Trophy
06.02.21	Kaia Kanepi - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
05.02.21	Elise Mertens - Naomi Osaka	Mertens E. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWW?
- Karolina Muchova
WTA Australian Open
12.02.21	Karolina Muchova - Karolina Pliskova	2:0 ✺
10.02.21	Karolina Muchova - Mona Barthel	2:0 ✺
09.02.21	Karolina Muchova - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
WTA Melbourne Gippsland Trophy
05.02.21	Kaia Kanepi - Karolina Muchova	Kanepi K. walkover ✺
02.02.21	Jasmine Paolini - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

WTA Ostrava
22.10.20	Karolina Muchova - Elise Mertens	0:2

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