Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Elise Mertens		Moyuka Uchijima

	1	2
	1.11	6.5	Watch
	1.12	6.4	Watch
	1.13	5.98	Watch
	1.14	5.5
	1.12	6.59	Watch
	1.11	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.17)	6.27 ↑ (4.99)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
84.8%

Moyuka Uchijima
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Moyuka Uchijima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Elise Mertens - Moyuka Uchijima Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Uchijima will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mertens (votes: 1 - 50%). Uchijima (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Uchijima (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 19 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mertens (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Uchijima (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 21. Uchijima is ranked WTA: 88.

Mertens is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mertens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mertens is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mertens won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Elise Mertens - Lanlana Tararudee	2:0 ✺
WTA United Cup
09.01.26	Belinda Bencic - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
08.01.26	Elise Mertens - Barbora Krejcikova	2:1 ✺
05.01.26	Victoria Mboko - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
02.01.26	Elise Mertens - Lin Zhu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW
- Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Solana Sierra - Moyuka Uchijima	0:2 ✺
WTA Hobart
10.01.26	Darja Semenistaja - Moyuka Uchijima	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.01.26	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Moyuka Uchijima	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Madison Brengle - Moyuka Uchijima	0:2 ✺
WTA Hong Kong
28.10.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Emiliana Arango	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Monastir
07.10.22	Moyuka Uchijima - Elise Mertens	1:2

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