Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Mangione A. (Ita)


	Elizabeth Mandlik		Varvara Gracheva

	1	2
			Watch
	2.95	1.36
	2.8	1.38	Watch
	3	1.4
	3	1.41
	3	1.36
	3.03	1.36	Watch
	2.95	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.24)	1.38 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elizabeth Mandlik
31.8%

Varvara Gracheva
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elizabeth Mandlik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elizabeth Mandlik's form might have worsened.

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varvara Gracheva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elizabeth Mandlik than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elizabeth Mandlik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varvara Gracheva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Elizabeth Mandlik - Varvara Gracheva Predictions

Users Predictions: Varvara Gracheva will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Preview

Mandlik is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gracheva is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gracheva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gracheva is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elizabeth Mandlik
WTA Madrid
22.04.24	Nadia Podoroska - Elizabeth Mandlik	Canceled ✺
WTA Rouen
14.04.24	Elizabeth Mandlik - Katarina Zavatska	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Elizabeth Mandlik - Emeline Dartron	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.04.24	Elizabeth Mandlik - Veronica Miroshnichenko	1:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
30.03.24	Usue Maitane Arconada - Elizabeth Mandlik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 ?LWLL
- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Madrid
22.04.24	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
18.04.24	Varvara Gracheva - Yue Yuan	1:2 ✺
17.04.24	Varvara Gracheva - Viktoriya Tomova	2:1 ✺
WTA Charleston
04.04.24	Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Varvara Gracheva - Clervie Ngounoue	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW

Elizabeth Mandlik - Varvara Gracheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide