Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Porto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday


	Elizara Yaneva		Francesca Curmi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.2	4.03	Watch
	1.23	4.45
	1.18	4.16	Watch
	1.2	4.33
	1.19	4.24	Watch
	1.13	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.34)	4.33 ↑ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elizara Yaneva
78.5%

Francesca Curmi
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elizara Yaneva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elizara Yaneva's performance.

Francesca Curmi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesca Curmi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elizara Yaneva than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Elizara Yaneva - Francesca Curmi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yaneva is ranked WTA: 260. Curmi is ranked WTA: 342.

Yaneva is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Curmi is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Curmi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Yaneva is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elizara Yaneva
ITF Tournaments
01.02.26	Elizara Yaneva - Ayla Aksu	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Elizara Yaneva - Angelina Voloshchuk	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Elizara Yaneva - Laura Mair	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Elizara Yaneva - Rasheeda Mcadoo	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Greetje Minnen - Elizara Yaneva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW
- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
14.12.25	Justina Mikulskyte - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Nahia Berecoechea - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
12.12.25	Dune Vaissaud - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
11.12.25	Mara Gae - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
10.12.25	Abigayel Vosloo - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW

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