Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon (Portugal), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday


	Elmer Moeller		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.72	2.15
	1.73	2.04
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.65	2.16	Watch
	1.72	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.84)	2.06 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moeller
54.7%

Andrea Pellegrino
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moeller than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Elmer Moeller - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Moeller will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Pellegrino will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moeller is ranked ATP: 250. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 209.

Recent matches Moeller is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pellegrino is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Moeller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Elmer Moeller - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.54%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moeller
ATP Challenger
23.09.24	Elmer Moeller - Clement Tabur	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Elmer Moeller - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
15.09.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Elmer Moeller	Canceled ✺
14.09.24	Alexander Bublik - Elmer Moeller	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.09.24	Martin Landaluce - Elmer Moeller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LW?WL
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
17.09.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Elahi Galan	Canceled ✺
15.09.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Gerard Campana Lee - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
13.09.24	Daniel Altmaier - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
12.09.24	Gianluca Mager - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 ?LWWW

Elmer Moeller - Andrea Pellegrino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide