Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Vit Kopriva

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.27	1.56	Watch
	2.32	1.59	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.27	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.39)	1.58 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
41.1%

Vit Kopriva
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Vit Kopriva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Andrea Pellegrino - Vit Kopriva Predictions

Users Predictions: Vit Kopriva will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 263. Kopriva is ranked ATP: 122.

Pellegrino in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Kopriva is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kopriva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kopriva will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pellegrino won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Vit Kopriva - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61.16%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
28.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1 ✺
27.03.25	Gauthier Onclin - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
24.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Alessandro Pecci	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW
- Vit Kopriva
ATP Challenger
28.03.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Calvin Hemery - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
24.03.25	Vit Kopriva - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
25.02.25	Vit Kopriva - Hynek Barton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.09.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Vit Kopriva	0:2
20.10.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Vit Kopriva	2:0
24.04.21	Andrea Pellegrino - Vit Kopriva	2:1

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