Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Elmer Moeller		Gabriele Pennaforti

	1	2
	1.4	2.65	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.46	2.57
	1.47	2.57
	1.36	3
	1.46	2.59	Watch
	1.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)	2.68 ↑ (2.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moeller
65.3%

Gabriele Pennaforti
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Gabriele Pennaforti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moeller than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elmer Moeller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriele Pennaforti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Pennaforti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moeller will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moeller
ITF Tournaments
26.03.24	Elmer Moeller - Kyle Overmyer	2:0 ✺
23.02.24	Elmer Moeller - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
22.02.24	Elmer Moeller - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
21.02.24	Elmer Moeller - Alexander Donski	2:1 ✺
16.02.24	Elmer Moeller - Sergey Fomin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWL
- Gabriele Pennaforti
ITF Tournaments
25.03.24	Daniel Bagnolini - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
21.03.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Stefan Palosi	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Menelaos Efstathiou	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.03.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Benjamin Lock	0:2 ✺
28.02.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Corentin Denolly	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL

Elmer Moeller - Gabriele Pennaforti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide