Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Split (Croatia), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Plese M. (Cro)


	Elmer Moeller		Tristan Lamasine

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.68	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.17
	1.71	2.17
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.23	Watch
	1.67	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.02)	2.13 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moeller
56%

Tristan Lamasine
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elmer Moeller's performance.

Tristan Lamasine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tristan Lamasine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moeller than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elmer Moeller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Lamasine than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tristan Lamasine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	0%	15.8%

Elmer Moeller - Tristan Lamasine Predictions

Users Predictions: Elmer Moeller will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moeller in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Lamasine is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lamasine could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Moeller to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moeller
ATP Challenger
09.04.24	Lukas Klein - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
08.04.24	Elmer Moeller - Dan Added	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Elmer Moeller - Jakob Schnaitter	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.04.24	Tommaso Compagnucci - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Elmer Moeller - Samuele Pieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWW
- Tristan Lamasine
ATP Challenger
09.04.24	Jiri Vesely - Tristan Lamasine	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Vitaliy Sachko - Tristan Lamasine	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	Evan Furness - Tristan Lamasine	2:0 ✺
29.02.24	Tristan Lamasine - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Antoine Escoffier - Tristan Lamasine	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLW

Elmer Moeller - Tristan Lamasine: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide