Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montevideo (Uruguay), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 November 2024, Tuesday


	Elmer Moller		Oriol Roca Batalla

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.51	2.4
	1.52	2.42	Watch
			Watch
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.51	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.62)	2.41 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
61.4%

Oriol Roca Batalla
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Oriol Roca Batalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriol Roca Batalla than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Elmer Moller - Oriol Roca Batalla Predictions

Users Predictions: Elmer Moller will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 172. Batalla is ranked ATP: 222.

Moller is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Batalla is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Batalla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moller will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
10.11.24	Vit Kopriva - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Elmer Moller - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
08.11.24	Vilius Gaubas - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
06.11.24	Elmer Moller - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
05.11.24	Juan Bautista Torres - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW
- Oriol Roca Batalla
ATP Challenger
06.11.24	Oriol Roca Batalla - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
04.11.24	Oriol Roca Batalla - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
01.11.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:1 ✺
31.10.24	Oriol Roca Batalla - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
29.10.24	Gastao Elias - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWW

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