Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lisbon 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Elmer Moller		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.38	1.55	Watch
	2.3	1.56	Watch
	2.35	1.61
	2.30	1.55	Watch
	2.25	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.28)	1.56 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
40.3%

Henrique Rocha
59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Elmer Moller have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Henrique Rocha have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Elmer Moller - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rocha will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 163., and Rocha is ranked ATP: 105..

Moller has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Rocha shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Rocha could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rocha holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Rocha in today's match, at odds of 1.55.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Moller has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
21.10.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
19.10.26	Tristan Boyer - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Elmer Moller - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Elmer Moller - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Elmer Moller - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLLW
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
21.10.26	Thiago Monteiro - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
19.10.26	Dali Blanch - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
12.10.26	Sumit Nagal - Henrique Rocha	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Henrique Rocha - Inaki Montes De La Torre	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Henrique Rocha - Jerome Kym	Rocha H. win ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.10.25	Henrique Rocha - Elmer Moller	1:2
09.11.24	Elmer Moller - Henrique Rocha	2:0

Elmer Moller - Henrique Rocha