Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Perugia 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Andrea Pellegrino		Pierluigi Basile

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.24	3.70
	1.22	3.8
	1.26	4.41
	1.25	3.67	Watch
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.23	3.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.31)	3.9 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
76%

Pierluigi Basile
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Pellegrino's performance.

Pierluigi Basile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pierluigi Basile might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Pellegrino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierluigi Basile than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pierluigi Basile could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Andrea Pellegrino - Pierluigi Basile Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 124. Basile is ranked ATP: 660.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Pellegrino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pellegrino is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
04.06.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
02.06.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Flavio Cobolli - Andrea Pellegrino	3:0 ✺
21.05.26	Marco Cecchinato - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Lloyd Harris	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWW
- Pierluigi Basile
ATP Challenger
04.06.26	Pierluigi Basile - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Pierluigi Basile - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.05.26	Pierluigi Basile - Lucio Ratti	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	Pierluigi Basile - Oskar Brostrom Poulsen	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Pierluigi Basile - Alberto Morolli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLWW

Andrea Pellegrino - Pierluigi Basile

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Andrea Pellegrino - Pierluigi Basile Predictions

Preview

Form

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