Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Elsa Jacquemot		Leylah Annie Fernandez

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.9	1.24
	3.76	1.25	Watch
	3.97	1.28
	3.91	1.25	Watch
	4.2	1.22
	3.78	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (3.5)	1.26 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elsa Jacquemot
24.2%

Leylah Annie Fernandez
75.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

72.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elsa Jacquemot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Leylah Annie Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elsa Jacquemot than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elsa Jacquemot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leylah Annie Fernandez than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leylah Annie Fernandez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Elsa Jacquemot - Leylah Annie Fernandez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jacquemot (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Leylah Annie Fernandez will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jacquemot is ranked WTA: 91. Fernandez is ranked WTA: 30.

Jacquemot is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fernandez has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jacquemot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fernandez is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elsa Jacquemot
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Marie Bouzkova	2:0 ✺
WTA Cleveland
21.08.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Ann Li	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Solana Sierra - Elsa Jacquemot	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Lin Zhu - Elsa Jacquemot	0:2 ✺
17.08.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Jessica Failla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWWW
- Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA US Open
24.08.25	Rebecca Marino - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
WTA Monterrey
20.08.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
09.08.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	0:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
29.07.25	Maya Joint - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWLL

Elsa Jacquemot - Leylah Annie Fernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide