Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Samsun, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	Emiliana Arango		Ayla Aksu

	1	2
	1.36	3.00	Watch
	1.36	2.95
	1.35	3.10
	1.39	2.83	Watch
	1.39	2.95
	1.34	2.99	Watch
	1.37	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)	2.95 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emiliana Arango
68.4%

Ayla Aksu
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emiliana Arango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Ayla Aksu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emiliana Arango than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emiliana Arango that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayla Aksu than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayla Aksu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Emiliana Arango - Ayla Aksu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arango is ranked WTA: 138., and Aksu is ranked WTA: 210..

Both players are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Arango could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Arango is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emiliana Arango
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Emiliana Arango - Anna Blinkova	0:2 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
13.09.26	Peyton Stearns - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.26	Emiliana Arango - Carol Young Suh Lee	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Emiliana Arango - Maria Paulina Perez Garcia	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
30.08.26	Emiliana Arango - Xin Yu Wang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL
- Ayla Aksu
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Elena Pridankina - Ayla Aksu	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Han Shi - Ayla Aksu	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Yuki Naito - Ayla Aksu	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Lina Gjorcheska - Ayla Aksu	Canceled ✺
15.09.26	Ayla Aksu - Elena Malygina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLW?L

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