Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Emiliana Arango		Hailey Baptiste

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.6	1.3	Watch
	3.68	1.32
	3.44	1.31	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.54	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.97)	1.31 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emiliana Arango
26.9%

Hailey Baptiste
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emiliana Arango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Hailey Baptiste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emiliana Arango than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Emiliana Arango - Hailey Baptiste Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Baptiste (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hailey Baptiste will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Baptiste (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arango is ranked WTA: 108. Baptiste is ranked WTA: 43.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Baptiste may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Baptiste is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arango won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emiliana Arango
WTA Merida
25.02.26	Emiliana Arango - Marie Bouzkova	Arango E. retired ✺
23.02.26	Emiliana Arango - Anastasia Potapova	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
09.02.26	Xin Yu Wang - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
WTA Ostrava
04.02.26	Tamara Korpatsch - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Emiliana Arango - McCartney Kessler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 ?WLLL
- Hailey Baptiste
WTA Dubai
15.02.26	Hailey Baptiste - Alexandra Eala	Baptiste H. retired ✺
14.02.26	Hailey Baptiste - Rebecca Sramkova	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Hailey Baptiste - Shuai Zhang	2:0 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
06.02.26	Hailey Baptiste - Ekaterina Alexandrova	1:2 ✺
WTA Doha
06.02.26	Hailey Baptiste - Storm Hunter	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 ?LWL?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.01.23	Hailey Baptiste - Emiliana Arango	0:2

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