Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday


	Emiliana Arango		Viktoriya Tomova

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.9	1.9
	1.81	2.01	Watch
	1.84	2.04
	1.77	2.03	Watch
	1.95	1.85
	1.82	2.02	Watch
	1.81	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.2)	1.98 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emiliana Arango
51.9%

Viktoriya Tomova
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emiliana Arango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emiliana Arango's performance.

Viktoriya Tomova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viktoriya Tomova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emiliana Arango than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emiliana Arango that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoriya Tomova than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viktoriya Tomova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Emiliana Arango - Viktoriya Tomova Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Arango will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Tomova will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arango: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 Games - Arango (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Emiliana Arango will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Arango (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arango is ranked WTA: 97. Tomova is ranked WTA: 61.

Arango has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tomova is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tomova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Emiliana Arango - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.3%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emiliana Arango
WTA Roma
06.05.25	Emiliana Arango - Leolia Jeanjean	Jeanjean L. retired ✺
05.05.25	Emiliana Arango - Marina Stakusic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Emiliana Arango	2:1 ✺
WTA Madrid
22.04.25	Emiliana Arango - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2 ✺
WTA Bogota
01.04.25	Emiliana Arango - Lucrezia Stefanini	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 ?WLL?
- Viktoriya Tomova
WTA Madrid
22.04.25	Viktoriya Tomova - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
31.03.25	Viktoriya Tomova - Robin Montgomery	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Viktoriya Tomova	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Viktoriya Tomova - Caty McNally	2:1 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.25	Viktoriya Tomova - Maria Sakkari	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL

Emiliana Arango - Viktoriya Tomova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide