Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Liege, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday


	Emilien Demanet		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	2.55	1.45
	2.80	1.42
	2.68	1.49
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.65	1.47
	2.66	1.42	Watch
	2.60	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.59)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilien Demanet
35.4%

Lorenzo Giustino
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilien Demanet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilien Demanet than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Emilien Demanet - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Demanet is ranked ATP: 588. Giustino is ranked ATP: 226.

Recent performances by Demanet have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Giustino is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Giustino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Giustino could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Giustino will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Emilien Demanet - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.57%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.43%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilien Demanet
ATP Challenger
06.07.26	Maxime Chazal - Emilien Demanet	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Yannik Kelm - Emilien Demanet	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Adan Freire Da Silva - Emilien Demanet	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Emilien Demanet - Jack Loge	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Emilien Demanet - Harold Huens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWL
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Leo Raquillet - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Igor Marcondes	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWW

Emilien Demanet - Lorenzo Giustino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide