Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Marko Topo

	1	2
	2.00	1.72
	1.98	1.74
	2.06	1.8
	1.99	1.73	Watch
	2.03	1.76
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	1.95	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.83)	1.75 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
46.6%

Marko Topo
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Marko Topo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Giustino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marko Topo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Lorenzo Giustino - Marko Topo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Topo will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 226. Topo is ranked ATP: 350.

Giustino is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Topo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Topo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Giustino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Marko Topo - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
08.06.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
01.06.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Marko Topo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL
- Marko Topo
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Marko Topo - Leo Raquillet	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Marko Topo - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Ilia Simakin - Marko Topo	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Marko Topo - Ryan Seggerman	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Federico Cina - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.06.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Marko Topo	1:2
25.05.26	Marko Topo - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2
ITF Tournaments
27.02.25	Marko Topo - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0

Lorenzo Giustino - Marko Topo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide