Match Info

Date: 10 May 2021, Monday


	Emilio Gomez		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.3
			Watch
	3.05	1.29
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.38	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.62)	1.3 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Gomez
28.3%

Sebastian Baez
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Gomez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emilio Gomez's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Baez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Gomez than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Emilio Gomez - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gomez in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Baez is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Baez is a favorite.

Baez is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Gomez
ATP Challenger
09.05.21	Emilio Gomez - Matteo Viola	2:1 ✺
03.05.21	Emilio Gomez - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
01.05.21	Emilio Gomez - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Tirante T. A. retired ✺
30.04.21	Emilio Gomez - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
29.04.21	Emilio Gomez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WW?WW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Challenger
09.05.21	Duje Ajdukovic - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
02.05.21	Vit Kopriva - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
28.04.21	Sebastian Baez - Alex Molcan	Baez S. retired ✺
26.04.21	Sebastian Baez - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
21.03.21	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WL?WW

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