Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Prostejov, clay - Final

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday


	Sebastian Baez		Alex Molcan

	1	2
	1.62	2.20	Watch
	1.65	2.10	Watch
	1.63	2.20	Watch
	1.66	2.37
	1.66	2.16	Watch
	1.62	2.20	Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.64)	2.2 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
57.3%

Alex Molcan
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Alex Molcan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Baez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Molcan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Sebastian Baez - Alex Molcan Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Baez will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 64. Molcan is ranked ATP: 110.

Baez is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Molcan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Baez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Baez will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Baez won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Challenger
06.06.26	Sebastian Baez - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
05.06.26	Sebastian Baez - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
03.06.26	Sebastian Baez - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Sebastian Baez - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Sebastian Baez - Roman Andres Burruchaga	Baez S. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWW?
- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
06.06.26	Hynek Barton - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Alex Molcan - Vitaliy Sachko	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Alex Molcan - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Alex Molcan - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Alex Molcan - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Kitzbuhel
03.08.23	Alex Molcan - Sebastian Baez	0:2
ATP Challenger
28.04.21	Sebastian Baez - Alex Molcan	Baez S. retired

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